Monday 14 September 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE OR APOCALYPSE III
INTRODUCTION
Mon peuple, mon peuple it's that time of the month again we are finally back on schedule. My hands are hurting the Nazis and Mafias tried to just wipe me out last night. I am still in Indiana. However, before we proceed there is something I must do. I should have done it from July’s Blog but God in His wisdom knew you can only take so much and no more. It is this thing about Destiny Helpers. Let just put the thing out there because there are a lot of people who are being held back, those who are selling their souls and the matter is quite simple. I remember when I first went to House of Praise in Mississauga. One night the Pastor was having a session. I really do not quite remember if it was getting to know you or just to get an idea of where people were in their life. I remember he asked about one’s major challenges in the church. I mean from those days people were trying to get into my head and I was being manipulated and had no clue. I tell you if Jesus could have been more plain about some things this is one of the scriptures he must have explained to the disciples in detail: Being wise as a Serpent and harmless as a dove St. Matthew 10 verse 16. I got the mike so I said to the Pastor who was moderating the session. Well my major problem is that I have never really been able to find someone to be my mentor. He was stumped; he never volunteered. He mumbled something inconsequential. I do not even remember what it was. However, I am now realizing that Spirit knows Spirit. I have met few people in my life who would be able to mentor me. One of the only people who I was flowing with the enemy tried to destroy. Let us get back to what I was dealing with, that of Destiny Helper. I really do not know why there is such confusion in this area or I should say I do know man ignoring God and doing his own thing. Ever since I have started to think of this area it is as if I am hearing the Spirit say ’Hey, hey I am over here yuh hoo, halloo, remember what the word says I am the Helper, the Comforter the One who will teach you all things St John 14 verses 16 – 17, 26. I am the one who helped the white man remember he used to believe in me also. He used to believe in the Gospel and evangelized the world. I am the one who helped him. I am also waiting for you to call on me and ask me for help so that I can show you great and mighty things which you do not know about Jeremiah 33 verse 3. Your, what you call it, your Destiny Helper I will show you the way to walk in. Isaiah 48 verse 17, Isaiah 30 verse 21. Let us take it down to brass tack people. Who led the Prophet Samuel to David in the backside of the desert? Even his biological father forgot about him. When the Prophet Samuel asked do you have another son? Jesse said oh yes i forgot he is in the fields keeping sheep. Then who led David to Saul? Saul to Prophet Samuel? I will not go any further. People stop working up things.
Then I forgot to tell you that I had to throw away my new brand ten dollars pair of shoes in Chicago when I bought my new boots. The Sales Associate in the store who was from Botswana I told her I was not going to take off the new boots and asked her to dispose of the other shoes. She said you are going to throw away these shoes. I said, ‘Yes! when you are a soldier and at war you cannot walk around with excess weight. Everything which you have must be essential.’ She said,’That is true and laughed.’ A lovely young lady from Botswana who says Jamaica is one of her must go to places. I tell you I need a piece of property in Jamaica I could be doing some serious hospitality business. All i would say is how much can you afford? This is the number of my Property Manager call him and tell him you spoke to me and tell him the terms we agreed on. I will call and confirm later. Love it!!
Coming into Fort Wayne I had to do some serious walking. All these townships in the United States which are in malice. I would really like someone to tell me why the People’s National Party and the Jamaica Labour Party are so adamant about destroying me. I broke up a corruption ring and left Jamaica because they blocked all my opportunities on the island. However, they have never given me an inch. Is there any honest person out there who can tell me why because I have no intention of giving them the light of day. They are just too evil for me. The things they all get up to. I walked from Marion almost to Fontaine before the Nazis and Mafias tried to abduct me again. The lady wanted to give me a ride but I was to go with her to the clinic for her to take her medicine. I said, ‘You go ahead and I will wait on you right here under the tree.’ While I was there with my Meijer Shopping Cart three cars from the Sheriff’s office came. I just continued eating my apple. They asked me for my identification and the usual questions. I did not even look at them but gave them the passport. Then they went on their way. Then they all decided to send the lady so I would not be suspicious. Happens that the lady has a daughter who is a drug addict in the system who has been given sixteen years. The usual story needs compromised people to do their criminal acts. The lady sounds like a nice person. When I was in Anderson they had their big abduction plan and when they saw that I would be praying all night they gave me no end of trouble. I eventually left at 4:30 a.m. walking along Martin Luther King Jr Boulevard. Unfortunately, Anderson was an industrial township however with the closure of General Motors the township has been impacted negatively not a lot of activity in the township. It also needs some money to be spent on it. Africans learn, do not build any village based on any one industry. When the industry crashes then the community crashes. To make matters worse in that side of the world the townships are insular, no buses only cars or feet. However, while Anderson’s economy has slowed down Marion City is booming. Wesleyan University is in the South of the city, houses are going up and new shopping malls. Then the buses in Fort Wayne stops running at 9 p.m. making it difficult for one to explore at nights as per usual.
Talk about ramshackled, the Detroit Transportation gives new meaning to the word ramshackled. It would take all my blog to write about all the incidents which took place. We will just highlight a few. The first thing is the fact that the Nazis and Mafias are insisting that I wear a mask everywhere I go.. All the little black heads in the Transit in Indianapolis and Detroit kept shouting at you when you got on the bus.
Incident I
Here it is people this bright Sunday morning I took the number 4 bus from down the bottom of Woodward at the State Fair Transit stop. The driver was telling people to put on their mask every stop in a loud voice. Then she stopped the bus and got out of her seat and said ‘Listen up, here especially you men, you gotta put on that mask and keep it on or I am gonna let you off this bus (best Detroit accent).’ At this stage before she went on I said let me out of here I do not want any Spirit of Jezebel to be transferred to me. Open the door and let me out that made the white people in the background pulling the strings hate me even more.
Incident II
This is Saturday and by this time I had decided to leave because I had discovered that the libraries would be closed until the end of September. Then I met a fellow earlier in the day, when I found the library who was offering me money to shack up with him (cohabit). He told me he was a Christian so I told him the Christian way of looking for a spouse. That one is for the book. It is too long. How could I forget to tell you this piece? When I arrived in Detroit and went to the Rosa Parks Transit Centre I was taken aback. The lady must be turning over in her grave. The place gave new meaning to the word indecent and disorderly. It would be too much to describe how the place looked and what took place. I will just give you this piece. I had to stand behind a barrier made up of yellow caution tapes and some other things flung together. The person you spoke to was so far off you had to be shouting. In my case they sent a lady as moderator. I eventually got three bus schedules because I was told that is what I would be entitled to. Of course, they gave me the bus schedule that passes the Social Assistance office. I tell you the white people do not miss a beat. The fact that I told the Canadian people to stick their Social Assistance up you know where, they have not missed an opportunity to remind me of the way they have made me destitute.
Anyway, back to my incident I needed to find out which bus would take me the furthest south. I remembered that I saw a map at the State Fair Transfer Center. However, on my way there it became dusk. I decided against my better judgement to continue with the 461 Express bus to the end of the line. However, I out-argued myself that it was early and the bus ran late into the night at least 11 p.m. I had at least three hours to reach and return. I forgot that I was in Detroit and anything goes. They dropped me at the final stop which was across from a children’s hospital. Then all the buses passed me for the night. I did a little exploring, you get tired of the concrete, steel and glass. After exploring I returned to the hospital and sewed up my bag handle which the Nazis and Mafias had destroyed. Then I went to the front and did my prayer session with the myriad of internet Doctors and Psychiatrists watching. At about 2 a.m. I saw this Dr. Jekyll comes out with his scrubs and gloves all ready to do surgery walking around inside the hospital for about fifteen minutes. I paid him no mind but continued to eat my biscuits. At 2:30 a.m. I sought permission to use the restroom they said it was not available. I went to the hotel nearby Marriott Courtyard, earlier I had asked them permission to use the internet and was turned down by a receptionist giving out red pens. Lord help my Holy Ghost!! I returned to borrow the restroom and was given permission. I know that they wanted me to stay so I did just that. The temperature had dropped sharply that night. It was actually very chilly. I ensured that I did not take out my Bible but prayed in the Spirit. People once I took out my Bible they would have asked me to leave. The routine: ‘Are you a guest? No! I am afraid I am going to have to ask you to leave yahda yahda! You have to be wise as a serpent and harmless as a dove St. Matthew 10 verse 16. However, I said Raphleta, you sleep and you are a dead woman. I counted no sheep. At the usual witching hour of 4 a.m. people realized that I would not be sleeping and sent the security with the questions above. I said no problem, I am out of here. I stayed at the front of the hotel until after 6:30 a.m. Then I returned to the bus stop and camped under a tree. I was almost asleep when I heard a noise only to find out that the bus had left me again. I decided to start walking. I reached up to Wattle and Crooks Streets and camped on a property to rest my legs. The gentleman came out to find out if I was okay. I told him yes and I was on my way to Detroit not realizing I was following the wrong set of bus signs and going north instead of south, when the police came they informed me. These are the same set of police from the same station down at Troy Civic Centre who had the gall to ask me why I left the centre I should have stayed. Anyway I walked back to Beaver and Crooks where I found the correct bus stop and got a bus to State Fair Transfer. I researched the map and the route I needed to take in a southerly direction.
Incident III
Having done my research I was making my way to the Airport when it was decided that I should not return. All the bus kept passing mw whichever stop i went to. So I walked to Trumbull, then I took another bus to Livernois, this bus was not going to the Airport. A bus came and stopped around 9 metres down; we had to move to meet it. There was another fellow at this bus stop with me. He was Caucasian so he had to listen to my reasoned arguments about the wickedness of the Caucasians. When I reached the door the driver came out like a Miss Lashie ready to argue. The problem seemed to be the fact that I had the mask under my chin and not on my face. This is after three people and I have been trying to get a bus from after 12 p.m. I was booking no foolishness. I just told him to get back in (on) the bus and open the door to stop waste mi (wasting my) time wid deh (with the) foolishness and I was not speaking softly. He went back in and then the traitorous Caucasian told him something derogatory about me and he let him through the front door and drove off and left me standing with my bags. By this time you had this fool with his two children standing behind me making a lot of noise. I just took up my prayer sheet and started moving from left to right and started praying. The place suddenly became clean of all the cars which were parked for observation scattered. The next bus that came stopped at the bus stop and was driven by an Indian and was sending out the Canadian Virus. No one said anything to me about a mask. I reached the Airport, refreshed myself and then went to the Westin Hotel to get some hot water for my noodles. Then I discovered the computer automatically shut me down every five minutes. They do not even want me to read the Jamaican Newspapers. My kudos to the person who ran the Detroit International Airport (DTW). I could not have remained in Detroit that long if I did not have that sanctuary. However, they need to get some caterers in the place to sell food. It is the first airport I have been to and could not get anything to buy.When all is said and done the Airport people are doing an excellent job.
Incident IV
On Monday, Labour Day even though I moved out very early at the third sto; I was informed that my connections did not run on a Sunday or holiday. I decided to purchase some food and hang out for the day and dry my laundry. First Starbucks ran me off their patio. Then Meijer decided I could not sleep in their grass. Harassment from the Nazis and Mafias looking for someone to run around with them. The Police came and moved me because I paid them no mind when they told me this the first time. I was at Eureka Road. I had a lovely time resting and just fellowshipping with the Holy Spirit on the grass while my laundry hung from the trees. When the police moved me I went to the grass by Comerica Bank. This was nicer. Then I returned to purchase something in the supermarket before leaving. On Tuesday, I made another attempt to leave by going directly to the Greyhound Terminal. I am terrible without a map so I walked around in a circular motion in the rain. Got wet and then dry and eventually found the Greyhound office. When I reached everybody had vacated the counter. As I say to people I choose my battles. I went to Walmart to use the computer to purchase my ticket online. I will not tell you about the scam that the Nazis and Mafias have on computers, charging people US$5 to print a ticket at the Greyhound office. When I left Walmart they tried to stop me getting into town again. I had to use the emergency button at the bus stop to get information. This leads me to my last day on Wednesday.
I left the Airport early in the morning and went to dry my laundry. On my way from the latter I decided that I needed some fruits. Several stops down the road I decided to take the bus and head back in the direction I was coming from to go to the stores. One lady in green turned up at the bus stop and waved off one bus Then we all got on the express. When I rang the bell that is when the driver decided to start driving. He eventually stopped, Madame in green decided she was going to continue her operations. I dispatched her in no uncertain terms. Then the whole network manifested aim being to try and stop me from catching the Greyhound bus. Like five buses passed me in total because after the first one passed I started walking and I did go after all the black people along the way. There was a taxi man following me up. I will not tell you what I did to him. Pray my soul in the Lord I dropped my pants and showed him my derriere. I wear four layers, people. He only saw layer three, my tights. After approximately ten bus stops along the route a bus stopped because I was bombing a ride and going into the streets and asked that the police be called. The bus crawled at a snail pace until we finally reached. On the bus me and one young lady clashed. She was in the back of the bus with her sound system. I told all the black people in no uncertain terms that they had allowed white people to destroy them with Social Assistance and ODSP. I said look at you all big men spaced out on medication, twitching (there was a gentleman with a big man who was right there ) I said look at this big ‘trappting’ man twitching believing a lie destroying himself for so called easy money, dragging your feet all because you had bought into a lie. I said there was no easy money. I told them some other things and advised them that the Canadians had given me the same option and I told them in no uncertain terms what to do with their money and special diet. The men were as quiet as a lamb, you could hear a pin drop in the bus. I told them I was there to liberate them. Anyway they changed the route and dropped me off at the incorrect final stop hoping I would lose my way but I just walked straight to the Greyhound Terminal.
I tell you people from Indianapolis I have been wandering what was happening, big, strong, hearty black men without on leg pushing walkers and very obese. Here in Detroit young men walking around obviously spaced out on drugs, dragging their feet. Pastor Adeboye,we need some Divine Visitation to save these black people in this part of the world. I know the feeling people time and time again the Canadians have shown me that this was their desire for me. The bus service is Baron’s bus, a new partner with Greyhound. However, I much prefer Megabus, much more efficient and lean operations. However, everytime I pull them up they are not operating in most cities. I am wondering what is happening. Cockroach nuh business inna fowl fight (You are not to get involved in certain controversies). The journey into Cleveland was uneventful. It is very sad about the Detroit Transit system in terms of coverage. it is very effective, one of the best I have seen in recent times, with proper training it could be one of the best bus services in the United States.
What can I say about Cleveland, the Caucasians decided that they would try oppression and suppression. I decided it is Blog time one hour per day at the library was a waste of my time. I have already wasted two months in Canada. I need to move on as we speak. I am on the Baron’s bus to Akron, Ohio, the first leg of my trip to Huntington, West Virginia. When I went to the library this morning Sept 10 and saw the elaborate system of suppression from them I used my one hour to book my passage out of Cleveland. When I went to the sixth floor where the Geography books were found to look at the road atlas the specific page 225 to 226 with West Virginia was removed I said where have I seen this happening before? At the Jamaica Racing Commission! I had to laugh, people change, spirits do not. At the Airport the previous night they sent a police lady with an Agenda she was as loud as her bottom was broad. I paid her no mind threatening me with arrest. I did not bother to remind her that I have been arrested illegally twice by the whiteman. When I was leaving she was clapping me. I said yes you Nazis and Mafias are being thwarted at your own game. Oh! People I forgot to tell you this, how could I? Remember when we started out the Nazis and Mafias and their Jamaican Politician friends used to laugh and mock me. Now everywhere I go they are calling me Anancy, squirrel or sending rabbits my way. I even saw a lady driving up in the parking lot in Carleston, Indiana with a horseshoe on her vehicle. I said to myself this is no luck. This is all the Holy Spirit. I am just thanking God for the promotion both physically and spiritually. After the raucous police woman ran me out of the airport. The bus into town set me down right in the path of Jack’s Casino. It is a nice Casino but they had no free beverage for moochers you had to be gaming, to get a hot beverage. I used the nice washroom and then left. Of course, I do not live my life by chance I live by faith so I was not in the least tempted. It is a progression people, I have been at Caymanas Park right there in the Commissioners’ box with the big wigs and was not tempted to gamble once. I was more interested in the mathematical part of the exotic betting and how numerate illiterates can be. Hence, the reason I can enter the casino and leave thinking people really waste money that way? Anyway onto weightier matters the thing that that you have all been waiting on, the inexpert analysis of the Jamaica 2020 Elections. I must thank Wikipedia they were on the ball. The Jamaica 2020 Elections, there was I coming against my prayer point ‘The People’s National Party shall be cleared of all’. You can stick that into Google to get the complete point. I had read the Jamaica Gleaner and was alarmed. Anyway I decided to play it safe and used King David’s prayer in II Samuel 12 verses 22 - 23. I prayed during the elections but once the polling stations were closed I said ‘Daddy it is up to you’. I HAVE BEEN PRAYING FOR THE CLEANUP OF THE PARTY FOR OVER ONE YEAR.
The first important piece of information is that thirty seven percent (37%) of the number of people eligible to vote participated in the polls. It follows logically that sixty three percent (63%) of the Jamaican electorate was not interested in participating in the 2020 elections. That is almost two thirds of the voting population did not vote Electoral Commission Preliminary Report 2020. I remember when Mali was having its elections and Africanews.com said only thirty six percent of the electorate had participated. I said to myself President Ibrahim Baboucar Keita did not have a mandate. Away with him!! He did some other foolishness taking bad advice and was eventually removed Isaiah 44 verse 25. The THIRTY SEVEN PERCENT (37%) represent a decrease over the 2016 Elections 48.37% a decrease of 11.37%.
In effect the forty eight seats held by the ruling party represents 21% of the number of persons eligible to vote Voters List July 31, 2020.and Jamaica Elections 2020
Voters List July 31, 2020
Party
Votes
%
+/–
Seats
+/–
Jamaica Labour Party
408,376
57.07
+6.99
49
+17
People's National Party
305,950
42.76
–6.95
14
–17
Independents
1,185
0.17
+0.03
0
0
Total
715,511
100.00
–
63
Valid votes
715,511
98.78
Invalid/blank votes
8,806
1.22
Total votes
724,317
100.00
Registered voters/turnout
1,913,410
37.85
Source: Electoral Commission of Jamaica
Voting results
Jamaica Labour Party
57.07%
People's National Party
42.76%
Others
0.17%
Seat distribution
Jamaica Labour Party
77.78%
People's National Party
22.22%
Others
0%
While the fourteen seats held by the PNP represents 16%of the total number of persons eligible to vote. The Independents are a negligible .0006%. This means that the Jamaica Labour Party has not really been able to engender the confidence of the Jamaica people. It is the funding that oiled the wheel of the votes, not confidence in the party or the progress of the party.
What we have is a very volatile situation in Jamaica.
a) 11% voters deliberately disengage themselves from the process
b) The overall vote for both parties decreased, the slide for the PNP was much greater. There was also a slide for the Independents.
The global percentage spread for thirty five seats is 5% . Based on the number of persons who voted in 2020 it is a 14.31% spread.
What do you think, people? Do you think these people got offers they could not refuse? I leave it up to your reasoning. The wheel seemed to have gotten a lot of mullah to help it to turn. What I do know is that we Jamaicans are not going to allow foreigners to take over our country, anymore. This government just had what I would call a very ugly win. With some transient votes. My next order of business is to examine the profiles of all 63 members of parliament to see what new raw material we have in order to gauge capacity.
As soon as I can I will be putting in my Private Members bill stating that you have to be born in Jamaica to be Prime Minister, Governor General, Commissioner of Police or Chief of the Staff of the Army.
The FINSAC Report needs to be completed there are many persons who are suffering while the Texan have their real estate on his portfolio.Yes! People, the Texan! It is a whole network. That is why I was FINSACed so I could have insider information. I remember when they told me my house valued US$20,000. I said Whoopee! That is bread for me.The Jamaican dollar was about JAD$35 to US$1 then. In a very short time it moved to JAD$70 to US$1. I said my God! Raphleta, you live and you learn. The dollar is now at almost JAD$150:US$1. Now you realize the dilemma of the people, we have become money machines for foreigners. I would go as far as to say this is a crime against humanity. We as a country need to deal with this matter head on and as quickly as possible. Professor Trevor Munroe’s suggestion is right on about the Integrity Commission et al. Jamaicans, going forward any whiff of corruption and the person does not want to resign we are taking to the streets. We are 63% strong we have nothing else for foreigners to steal.
THE CHURCH IN JAMAICA
Understanding Why Jesus Was Resurrected - Dr. Myles Munroe Now to the church you all have played a role in bringing the country to this level you are going to have to work in a tangible way to get us out under God. I see this government as a transition government God giving the church time to clean up its act. My suggestion in this area came to me while I was praying up there in Troy, Michigan where the people abandoned me in the cold in front of the Children’s Hospital.
The Church needs to deliberately ask their membership who would like to represent God by running for public office at whatever level?
Having done this and gotten a response whether positive or negative. You are going to call a special meeting with those who are interested. This is a brainstorming meeting just to share ideas and see what and how people are thinking to deal with any misunderstandings. No one should be discriminated against because of their level of education. Help them to get up to speed once they are willing to subject themselves to training. The Church needs to formalize this group and give them a special name like the Ekklesia Group or Nation Building Group etc.. I leave this to your imagination and creativity.
You are going to have specific training for this group. We are leaving nothing to chance. We are going to pay for the best instructions if it cannot be found in the fellowship.
People I am going by memory because these days I tear up everything I write immediately. I do not want to generate anymore snap elections anywhere.
Defining and Understanding Law Part I - Dr. Myles MunroeThe training program for the group must be specific and targeted The first thing is education on the Jamaican Constitution . This session can be called - Know Your Rights. The Representation of the People’s Act etc. Those who are interested and do not have a financial base can participate , but those who are in finance must do the The Financial and Audit Act. Other topics include Parliamentary Procedures, Report Writing, Meeting Management, Proposal Writing, Leadership, Financial Management. I suggest that the members of the group shadow the Parliament of the nation. That is they should be up on, if not all the Bills going through Parliament, then the major ones. These things should also be discussed on a general basis in the church.
This group should also make it a point of their duty to visit the Parliament when it is in session. A discussion should take place on how they could improve the operations and procedures of the Parliament.
I reiterate no one should be excluded because of their level of education. Work with them to indicate how they can improve so they can be more effective. Visits should also be made to the Bank of Jamaica and the Jamaica Stock Exchange and any other institutions the group deem necessary.
A proper curriculum should be developed by the Education Department of the Church. With the specific guidelines and timelines for the programme.
The church should also develop a campaign management team to ensure that the candidates are not handled in an arbitrary manner or by unsaved people. You cannot mix holy and unholy and the just with the unjust.. You can work based on denomination or individual fellowships. It is up to you and your capacity. I have given you the skeleton now go put on more flesh. By the way Jamaican politicians et al you are talking about ladders and rack. My Daddy has a descalator by the name of lightning that moves at the speed of light. Some of you just experienced it Whooshh! St. Luke 10 verse 18. NEXXXXTTT!!!
Well people, I was in Huntington, West Virginia yesterday and now I am in Charleston, West Virginia. I tell you people after praying and worshiping all night last night and praying under the portico of a church and meditating on the political situation while I walked about the city. I was reflecting from the seventies and about the maximum leader Rt Hon. Michael Manley (Nazis and Mafias fix unuh face) I realized that all that is taking place is coming from the seventies. People, you see the importance of telling the children our history. I realized that persons have been carrying a grudge for us Jamaicans. Statements such as the bank is too white and there are five flights leaving to Miami. In addition, to the fact that PM Manley ran circles around all world leaders at that stage, as a member of the Non-Aligned Movement. I tell you our profile on the world stage has never been bigger.
People, I tell you that is why I left Canada because I realized that those Caucasians were not very nice people. These people are very malicious and vindictive. The banks and financial sector was nationalized by PM Manley and that is how Delroy Lindsay acquired a bank. Hence, the reason why he was killed. I am now realizing that Michael Lee Chin is just the front for a syndicate which is after the total control of the financial sector of Jamaica. Remember the big banks we had in Jamaica in the seventies were Barclays Bank, Royal Bank of Canada and Jamaica Citizens Bank. Since I have been up north I have been seeing Citizens Bank. BNS was small potatoes then.
It is no accident that Lee Chin has gone after JMMB and Guardian Life. I do not think they are going after Sagicor; this seems to be owned by their billionaire friend in Barbados. Hence, the reason they are trying to rattle Jamaica National. I need to research what is happening to Victoria Mutual Building Society. Barita was recently sold. We need to know who are the persons who are buying up our assets or we will reach the stage where we are going to need permission to drive and live in certain places in our own country. We need to go behind the veil and see which syndicate Michael Lee Chin and the politicians who are supporting him belong to including the Texan who got the residential properties on FINSAC books. As I was making my way to the riverfront I just heard St Aubyn Hill is a mole. He is a spy. He is there to protect other people's interest not those of the Jamaican people. I went to the riverfront and for the rest of the night was in prayer. The next day, which was Sunday I went to Walmart. This Walmart was by far the most unique I have been to. One had to cross over a river then through an old train yard. Then there was the store nestled in a nice little enclosure. I had to laugh. However, because of the distance to the store and the terrain. I did not disembark from the bus because the Nazis and mafias in that area had abandoned me at a next store. The place was very hilly with a lot of winding roads. When you have the goods people will find you anywhere. I returned to the town and used the computer at the Marriott Hotel to book my passage via Greyhound to Huntington, West Virginia. Just to advise the person or persons who have placed whatever in my right hand in Fort Wayne, Indiana while I slept by the Library to remove it or look out for my prayer point. Remove it or dissolve it you criminals. Fort Wayne County Library please do not destroy the video. I need it for my lawsuit. MetroLinx told me they destroyed the video showing the robbery of my funds and bank cards that took place in the bus, lying Canadians. I need to secure a lot of videos. DFDS over there in New Haven Port, South East, London do not destroy the video. All you airports and Hilton Hotels do not destroy the videos. I am going to sue you all for peekaboos and letting people inject me while I sleep and poison my food. Greyhound for that debacle in Columbus, Ohio on Friday morning, September 11, I am going to sue you! Enough is enough.
I am off to work on my blog. Daddy has been looking for someone to deal with the situation but the Church in Jamaica has been so mesmerized by the crooks they were of no use. The Bible says we Believers shall judge angels. I might as well start walking out my destiny on the Earth. I hope they are now realizing what we are all up against. Those who were supposed to be the counsellors were being counselled. People do not worry about me, they cannot touch me. I am on assignment. When God is done He will deal with my fleeces. The blood and prayers of poor people have come up to His ears. Now we see why people have been suffering so much in Jamaica the wealth of Jamaica is leaving in droves.Michael Lee Chin and his syndicate need to be stripped and they all need to leave Jamaica. That is why they do not like Hon. Michael Manley, he was not impressed with them or their money. Rt. Hon Manley was born into money so he had the right perspective on money. Plus he had a proper concept of himself.
I do not have to tell people where I am, they know my itinerary. I tell you people I sat in Detroit looking across the Hart Plaza at Windsor, Canada and started singing the Canadian National Anthem. Then I realized that I have not sung my own Anthem in a long time and the Holy Spirit just reminded me that it was a prayer. I started singing immediately and realized that I had forgotten most of it. Then I realized that I have been remiss. I need to go do my homework. Eternal Father bless our land indeed.
This month we are looking to conclude on Climate Change hoping to put this phenomenon in its proper perspective. We will be looking at why it is not all doom and gloom and why the United Nations continue to contribute to the whole confusion in this area.
Extinction risk from global warming
The extinction risk of global warming is the risk of species becoming extinct due to the effects of global warming. This may be Earth's sixth major extinction, often called the Anthropocene or Holocene extinction.
Latest consensus on projections
The scientific consensus in the 2014 IPCC Fifth Assessment Report is that:
A large fraction of both terrestrial and freshwater species faces increased extinction risk under projected climate change during and beyond the 21st century, especially as climate change interacts with other stressors, such as habitat modification, over-exploitation, pollution, and invasive species. Extinction risk is increased under all RCP scenarios, with risk increasing with both magnitude and rate of climate change. Many species will be unable to track suitable climates under mid- and high-range rates of climate change during the 21st century. Lower rates of climate change will pose fewer problems.
— IPCC, 2014
Extinction risks reported
2004
In one study published in Nature in 2004, between 15 and 37% of 1103 endemic or near-endemic known plant and animal species will be "committed to extinction" by 2050. More properly, changes in habitat by 2050 will put them outside the survival range for the inhabitants, thus committing the species to extinction.
Other researchers, such as Thuiller et al., Araújo et al., Person et al., Buckley and Roughgarden, and Harte et al. have raised concern regarding uncertainty in Thomas et al.'s projections; some of these studies believe it is an overestimate, others believe the risk could be greater. Thomas et al. replied in Nature addressing criticisms and concluding "Although further investigation is needed into each of these areas, it is unlikely to result in substantially reduced estimates of extinction. Anthropogenic climate change seems set to generate very large numbers of species-level extinctions." On the other hand, Daniel Botkin et al. state "... global estimates of extinctions due to climate change (Thomas et al. 2004) may have greatly overestimated the probability of extinction..."
Mechanistic studies are documenting extinctions due to recent climate change: McLaughlin et al. documented two populations of Bay checkerspot butterfly being threatened by precipitation change. Parmesan states, "Few studies have been conducted at a scale that encompasses an entire species" and McLaughlin et al. agreed "few mechanistic studies have linked extinctions to recent climate change." All conjecture!! I suppose further down the road people will want to blame a scenario like this on Climate Change with these arbitrary studies: 1000 Aborted Sea Pups Mysteriously Washed Ashore on the Namibian Coast. It is sheer malice!
2008
In 2008, the white lemuroid possum was reported to be the first known mammal species to be driven extinct by man-made global warming. However, these reports were based on a misunderstanding. One population of these possums in the mountain forests of North Queensland is severely threatened by climate change as the animals cannot survive extended temperatures over 30 °C. However, another population 100 kilometres south remains in good health.
2012
According to research published in the January 4, 2012 Proceedings of the Royal Society B current climate models may be flawed because they overlook two important factors: the differences in how quickly species relocate and competition among species. According to the researchers, led by Mark C. Urban, an ecologist at the University of Connecticut, diversity decreased when they took these factors into account, and that new communities of organisms, which do not exist today, emerged. As a result, the rate of extinctions may be higher than previously projected. Disconnect here?
2014
According to research published in the 30 May 2014 issue of Science, most known species have small ranges, and the numbers of small-ranged species are increasing quickly. They are geographically concentrated and are disproportionately likely to be threatened or already extinct. According to the research, current rates of extinction are three orders of magnitude higher than the background extinction rate, and future rates, which depend on many factors, are poised to increase. Although there has been rapid progress in developing protected areas, such efforts are not ecologically representative, nor do they optimally protect biodiversity. In the researchers' view, human activity tends to destroy critical habitats where species live, warms the planet, and tends to move species around the planet to places where they don't belong and where they can come into conflict with human needs (e.g. causing species to become pests).
2016
In 2016 the Bramble Cay melomys, which lived on a Great Barrier Reef island, was reported to probably be the first mammal to become extinct because of sea level rises due to human-made climate change. Probably?
Extinction risks of the Adelie penguin are being reported because of global warming. The Adelie penguin (Pygoscelis adeliae) species is declining and data analysis done on the breeding colonies is used to estimate and project future habitat and population sustainability in relation to warming sea temperatures. By 2060, one-third of the observed Adelie penguin colony along the West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) will be in decline. The Adelie penguins are a circumpolar species, used to the ranges of Antarctic climate, and experiencing population decline. Climate model projections predict sanctuary for the species past 2099. The observed population is similarly proportional to the species-wide population (one-third of the observed population is equal to 20% of the species-wide population).
Sex ratios for sea turtles in the Caribbean are being affected because of global warming (Sorry people Global Warming is affecting us). Environmental data were collected from the annual rainfall and tide temperatures over the course of 200 years and showed an increase in air temperature (mean of 31.0 degree Celsius). These data were used to relate the decline of the sex ratios of sea turtles in the North East Caribbean and climate change. The species of sea turtles include Dermochelys coriacea, Chelonia mydas, and Eretmochelys imbricata. Extinction is a risk for these species as the sex ratio is being afflicted causing a higher female to male ratio. Projections estimate the declining rate of male Chelonia mydas as 2.4% hatchlings being male by 2030 and 0.4% by 2090.In all life the male species is at risk.
2019
According to the World Wildlife Fund, the jaguar is already "near threatened" and the loss of food supplies and habitat due to the fires make the situation more critical.
The fires affect water chemistry (such as decreasing the amount of dissolved oxygen in the water), temperature, and erosion rates, which in turn affects fish and mammals that depend on fish, such as the giant otter (Pteronura brasiliensis).
2020
The unprecedented fires of the 2019–20 Australian bushfire season that have swept through 18 million acres (7 million hectares) have claimed 29 lives and have stressed Australia's wildlife. Before the fires, only 500 tiny Kangaroo Island dunnarts (Sminthopsis aitkeni) lived on one island; after half the island was burned, it is possible only one has survived. Bramble Cay melomys (Melomys rubicola) became the first known casualty of human-caused climate change in 2015 due to rising sea levels and repeated storm surges; the greater stick-nest rat (Leporillus conditor) may be next.
Emus (Dromaius novaehollandiae) are not in danger of extinction, although they might be wiped out in Australia. The loss of 8,000 koalas (Phascolarctos cinereus) in NSW alone broke hearts around the world, but the animals are endangered but not functionally extinct.
A February 2020 study published by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America found that one-third of all plant and animal species could be extinct by 2070 as a result of global warming. Lots of conjecture!
Kilimanjaro Fires - I suppose in days to come we will be hearing that these fires were by Climate Change. Arson as it was in Australia and California.
SHARING FROM VARIOUS ARTICLES ON THE SUBJECT OF CLIMATE APOCALYPSE
Ann Mongoven
To claim climate change poses a catastrophic crisis is an understatement. All science, empirical evidence, and experiential observation underscore the severity of the crisis. Yet some ways of talking about “crisis” can overwhelm, paralyze, and de-motivate, instead of motivating change. Crisis language poses a paradoxical crisis. How can we acknowledge the severity of the crisis while inspiring dramatic creative response, rather than fatalism?
A first start will be to think reflectively about the metaphors we use to describe dangers posed by climate change. Many calls for environmental attention go beyond describing crisis to invoking apocalypse. “Apocalypse now” summarizes the tone of much rhetoric about climate change.
Metaphorically, apocalypse refers to a destructive end-time in which the world is utterly destroyed. Its biblical referent is the Book of Revelation, which vividly describes the fiery, violent end of the world inflicted by God. Christianity is not the only religious tradition with apocalyptic stories. We Have already looked at the religious dogma surrounding this theme.
Secular critics also highlight negative social consequences of religious apocalyptic stories. They decry the troubling integration of two elements: That combination can result both in the normalization of violence, and in a fatalistic pessimism about human power to change history for the better.
Yet many environmentalists seem deaf to warnings about the downsides of apocalyptic rhetoric. Indeed, some secular environmentalists have become the most fanatically apocalyptic prophets of our time. They speak metaphorically of Gaia’s (the earth goddess’) revenge and Poseidon’s (the sea god’s) wrath and they foretell the heat-death of nature. They frequently describe heightened floods, storms, heatwaves, and droughts as “warnings” and “signs”—biblical rhetoric bespeaking messages from a petulant god losing patience—rather than straightforwardly as consequences of human behavior and resultant climate change. In the words of Guardian columnist Brendan O’Neil, environmentalists who unreflectively invoke images of apocalypse are now the ones who “instill in people that debilitating sense of ‘The End’ and of man's smallness in the face of Gaia's/God's judgement. [They] have taken the place of the priests in spreading fear, fatalism and resignation over man's fate.”
To address the crisis of crisis language, we must consider what makes apocalypse categorically different from crisis. First, apocalyptic visions are tied to a unidirectional vision of sacred history. The climate crisis, however, is unfolding in ecological history: a real world of patterns, cycles, and stages. Indeed, one reason resisters refuse to accept the evidence for climate change is their own apocalyptic framework. That framework precludes understanding that global warming does not cause simple consistent heat increases, but also events such as polar vortexes and severe winter storms. When environmentalists employ apocalyptic metaphors, they unintentionally reinforce the very worldview that entrenches resistance.
Second, a vengeful divinity whose power dwarfs that of humankind plays the leading role in apocalyptic stories. Too many environmentalists simply project onto nature the moral emotions of the God of Revelation. But this rhetorical move makes nature the powerful intentional actor in the story of climate change—not humans. Humans, the true powerful intentional moral actors causing climate change, can understandably feel defeated in advance when metaphorically matched against an overwhelmingly stronger moral force. To be sure, nature is a strong force—but it is not intentional—and it is the victim, not the god, in the real story.
Lastly, apocalyptic stories are pessimistic about the power of good people. The fiery destruction of the world in the apocalypse occurs because the good people remain a tiny remnant of the populace, loyal to divine command but unable to convert the masses. Even the good are powerless to influence fallen humanity, or to stop the apocalypse. Environmentalists who unthinkingly adopt apocalyptic rhetoric foster an “us-versus-them” mentality. That mentality fails to address the complexity of mass human embeddedness in environmentally-damaging socio-economic systems. It also fails to inspire “conversion,” or collective action. Yes, we face a terrible crisis with climate change. Yes, damage is already catastrophic and will get worse even if radical mass action grips the moment constructively. Yes, we have already passed some tipping points.
Paul Krugman
The past week’s images from Australia have been nightmarish: walls of flame, blood-red skies, residents huddled on beaches as they try to escape the inferno. The bush fires have been so intense that they have generated “fire tornadoes” powerful enough to flip over heavy trucks.
The thing is, Australia’s summer of fire is only the latest in a string of catastrophic weather events over the past year: unprecedented flooding in the Midwest, a heat wave in India that sent temperatures to 123 degrees, another heat wave that brought unheard-of temperatures to much of Europe.
And all of these catastrophes were related to climate change.
Notice that I said “related to” rather than “caused by” climate change. This is a distinction that has flummoxed many people over the years. Any individual weather event has multiple causes, which was one reason news reports used to avoid mentioning the possible role of climate change in natural disasters.
In recent years, however, climate scientists have tried to cut through this confusion by engaging in “extreme event attribution,” which focuses on probabilities: You can’t necessarily say that climate change caused a particular heat wave, but you can ask how much difference global warming made to the probability of that heat wave happening. And the answer, typically, is a lot: Climate change makes the kinds of extreme weather events we’ve been seeing much more likely.
And while there’s a lot of randomness in weather outcomes, that randomness actually makes climate change much more damaging in its early stages than most people realize. On our current trajectory, Florida as a whole will eventually be swallowed by the sea, but long before that happens, rising sea levels will make catastrophic storm surges commonplace. Much of India will eventually become uninhabitable, but killing heat waves and droughts will take a deadly toll well before that point is reached.
Put it this way: While it will take generations for the full consequences of climate change to play out, there will be many localized, temporary disasters along the way. There are some hopeful signs. One is that the news media has become much more willing to talk about the role of climate change in weather events.
Not long ago it was all too common to read articles about heat waves, floods and droughts that seemed to go to great lengths to avoid mentioning climate change. My sense is that reporters and editors have finally gotten over that block.
The public also seems to be paying attention, with concern about climate change growing substantially over the past few years.
Furthermore, this isn’t just a U.S. problem. Even as Australia burns, its current government is reaffirming its commitment to coal and threatening to make boycotts of environmentally destructive businesses a crime.
The sick irony of the current situation is that anti-environmentalism is getting more extreme precisely at the moment when the prospects for decisive action should be better than ever.
On one side, the dangers of climate change are no longer predictions about the future: We can see the damage now, although it’s only a small taste of the horrors that lie ahead.
On the other side, drastic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions now look remarkably easy to achieve, at least from an economic point of view. In particular, there has been so much technological progress in alternative energy that the Trump administration is trying desperately to prop up coal against competition from solar and wind.
But the wave of climate-related catastrophes may be changing the political calculus.
Michael Shellenberger
Environmental journalists and advocates have in recent weeks made a number of apocalyptic predictions about the impact of climate change. Bill McKibben suggested climate-driven fires in Australia had made koalas “functionally extinct.” Extinction Rebellion said “Billions will die” and “Life on Earth is dying.” Vice claimed the “collapse of civilization may have already begun.”
Few have underscored the threat more than student climate activist Greta Thunberg and Green New Deal sponsor Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The latter said, “The world is going to end in 12 years if we don't address climate change (ridiculous).” Says Thunberg in her new book, “Around 2030 we will be in a position to set off an irreversible chain reaction beyond human control that will lead to the end of our civilization as we know it (such wisdom for a teenager).”
Sometimes, scientists themselves make apocalyptic claims. “It’s difficult to see how we could accommodate a billion people or even half of that,” if Earth warms four degrees, said one earlier this year. “The potential for multi-breadbasket failure is increasing,” said another. If sea levels rise as much as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts, another scientist said, “It will be an unmanageable problem.”
Apocalyptic statements like these have real-world impacts. In September, a group of British psychologists said children are increasingly suffering from anxiety from the frightening discourse around climate change. In October, an activist with Extinction Rebellion (”XR”) — an environmental group founded in 2018 to commit civil disobedience to draw awareness to the threat its founders and supporters say climate change poses to human existence — and a videographer, were kicked and beaten in a London Tube station by angry commuters. And last week, an XR co-founder said a genocide like the Holocaust was “happening again, on a far greater scale, and in plain sight” from climate change.
Climate change is an issue I care passionately about and have dedicated a significant portion of my life to addressing. I have been politically active on the issue for over 20 years and have researched and written about it for 17 years. Over the last four years, my organization, Environmental Progress, has worked with some of the world’s leading climate scientists to prevent carbon emissions from rising. So far, we’ve helped prevent emissions increasing the equivalent of adding 24 million cars to the road.
I also care about getting the facts and science right and have in recent months corrected inaccurate and apocalyptic news media coverage of fires in the Amazon and fires in California, both of which have been improperly presented as resulting primarily from climate change.
Journalists and activists alike have an obligation to describe environmental problems honestly and accurately, even if they fear doing so will reduce their news value or salience with the public. There is good evidence that the catastrophist framing of climate change is self-defeating because it alienates and polarizes many people and exaggerating climate change risks distracting us from other important issues including ones we might have more near-term control over.
I feel the need to say this up-front because I want the issues I’m about to raise to be taken seriously and not dismissed by those who label as “climate deniers” or “climate delayers” anyone who pushes back against exaggeration.
With that out of the way, let’s look whether science supports what’s being said. First, no credible scientific body has ever said climate change threatens the collapse of civilization much less the extinction of the human species. “‘Our children are going to die in the next 10 to 20 years.’ What’s the scientific basis for these claims?” BBC’s Andrew Neil asked a visibly uncomfortable XR spokesperson last month. “These claims have been disputed, admittedly,” she said. “There are some scientists who are agreeing and some who are saying it’s not true. But the overall issue is that these deaths are going to happen.”
“But most scientists don’t agree with this,” said Neil. “I looked through IPCC reports and see no reference to billions of people going to die, or children in 20 years. How would they die?”
“Mass migration around the world is already taking place due to prolonged drought in countries, particularly in South Asia. There are wildfires in Indonesia, the Amazon rainforest, Siberia, the Arctic,” she said. But in saying so, the XR spokesperson had grossly misrepresented the science. “There is robust evidence of disasters displacing people worldwide,” notes IPCC, “but limited evidence that climate change or sea-level rise is the direct cause”
What about “mass migration”? “The majority of resultant population movements tend to occur within the borders of affected countries," says IPCC. It’s not like climate doesn’t matter. It’s that climate change is outweighed by other factors. Earlier this year, researchers found that climate “has not affected organized armed conflict within countries. However, other drivers, such as low socioeconomic development and low capabilities of the state, are judged to be substantially more influential.”
Last January, after climate scientists criticized Rep. Ocasio-Cortez for saying the world would end in 12 years, her spokesperson said "We can quibble about the phraseology, whether it's existential or cataclysmic.” He added, “We're seeing lots of [climate change-related] problems that are already impacting lives."
That last part may be true, but it’s also true that economic development has made us less vulnerable, which is why there was a 99.7% decline in the death toll from natural disasters since its peak in 1931.
In 1931, 3.7 million people died from natural disasters. In 2018, just 11,000 did. And that decline occurred over a period when the global population quadrupled.
What about sea level rise? IPCC estimates sea level could rise two feet (0.6 meters) by 2100. Does that sound apocalyptic or even “unmanageable”?
Consider that one-third of the Netherlands is below sea level, and some areas are seven meters below sea level. You might object that the Netherlands is rich while Bangladesh is poor. But the Netherlands adapted to living below sea level 400 years ago. Technology has improved a bit since then.
What about claims of crop failure, famine, and mass death? That’s science fiction, not science. Humans today produce enough food for 10 billion people, or 25% more than we need, and scientific bodies predict increases in that share, not declines.
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasts crop yields increasing 30% by 2050. And the poorest parts of the world, like sub-Saharan Africa, are expected to see increases of 80 to 90%.
Nobody is suggesting climate change won’t negatively impact crop yields. It could. But such declines should be put in perspective. Wheat yields increased 100 to 300% around the world since the 1960s, while a study of 30 models found that yields would decline by 6% for every one degree Celsius increase in temperature.
Rates of future yield growth depend far more on whether poor nations get access to tractors, irrigation, and fertilizer than on climate change, says FAO.
All of this helps explain why IPCC anticipates climate change will have a modest impact on economic growth. By 2100, IPCC projects the global economy will be 300 to 500% larger than it is today. Both IPCC and the Nobel-winning Yale economist, William Nordhaus, predict that warming of 2.5°C and 4°C would reduce gross domestic product (GDP) by 2% and 5% over that same period.
Does this mean we shouldn’t worry about climate change? Not at all.
One of the reasons I work on climate change is because I worry about the impact it could have on endangered species. Climate change may threaten one million species globally and half of all mammals, reptiles, and amphibians in diverse places like the Albertine Rift in Central Africa, home to the endangered mountain gorilla.
But it’s not the case that “we’re putting our own survival in danger” through extinctions, as Elizabeth Kolbert claimed in her book, Sixth Extinction. As tragic as animal extinctions are, they do not threaten human civilization. If we want to save endangered species, we need to do so because we care about wildlife for spiritual, ethical, or aesthetic reasons, not survival ones.
And exaggerating the risk, and suggesting climate change is more important than things like habitat destruction, are counterproductive.
For example, Australia’s fires are not driving koalas extinct, as Bill McKibben suggested. The main scientific body that tracks the species, the International Union for the Conservation of Nature, or IUCN, labels the koala “vulnerable,” which is one level less threatened than “endangered,” two levels less than “critically endangered,” and three less than “extinct” in the wild.
Should we worry about koalas? Absolutely! They are amazing animals and their numbers have declined to around 300,000. But they face far bigger threats such as the destruction of habitat, disease, bushfires, and invasive species.
Think of it this way. The climate could change dramatically — and we could still save koalas. Conversely, the climate could change only modestly — and koalas could still go extinct.
The monomaniacal focus on climate distracts our attention from other threats to koalas and opportunities for protecting them, like protecting and expanding their habitat.
As for fire, one of Australia’s leading scientists on the issue says, “Bushfire losses can be explained by the increasing exposure of dwellings to fire-prone bushlands. No other influences need be invoked. So even if climate change had played some small role in modulating recent bushfires, and we cannot rule this out, any such effects on risk to property are clearly swamped by the changes in exposure.” Nor are the fires solely due to drought, which is common in Australia, and exceptional this year. “Climate change is playing its role here,” said Richard Thornton of the Bushfire and Natural Hazards Cooperative Research Centre in Australia, “but it's not the cause of these fires."
The same is true for fires in the United States. In 2017, scientists modeled 37 different regions and found “humans may not only influence fire regimes but their presence can actually override, or swamp out, the effects of climate.” Of the 10 variables that influence fire, “none were as significant… as the anthropogenic variables,” such as building homes near, and managing fires and wood fuel growth within, forests.
Climate scientists are starting to push back against exaggerations by activists, journalists, and other scientists.
“While many species are threatened with extinction,” said Stanford’s Ken Caldeira, “climate change does not threaten human extinction... I would not like to see us motivating people to do the right thing by making them believe something that is false.”
I asked the Australian climate scientist Tom Wigley what he thought of the claim that climate change threatens civilization. “It really does bother me because it’s wrong,” he said. “All these young people have been misinformed. And partly it’s Greta Thunberg’s fault. Not deliberately. But she’s wrong.”
But don’t scientists and activists need to exaggerate in order to get the public’s attention?
“I’m reminded of what [late Stanford University climate scientist] Steve Schneider used to say,” Wigley replied. “He used to say that as a scientist, we shouldn’t really be concerned about the way we slant things in communicating with people out on the street who might need a little push in a certain direction to realize that this is a serious problem. Steve didn’t have any qualms about speaking in that biased way. I don’t quite agree with that.”
Wigley started working on climate science full-time in 1975 and created one of the first climate models (MAGICC) in 1987. It remains one of the main climate models in use today.
“When I talk to the general public,” he said, “I point out some of the things that might make projections of warming less and the things that might make them more. I always try to present both sides.”
Part of what bothers me about the apocalyptic rhetoric by climate activists is that it is often accompanied by demands that poor nations be denied the cheap sources of energy they need to develop. I have found that many scientists share my concerns. NOTE THIRD WORLD NATIONS!
“If you want to minimize carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in 2070 you might want to accelerate the burning of coal in India today,” MIT climate scientist Kerry Emanuel said.
“It doesn’t sound like it makes sense. Coal is terrible for carbon. But it’s by burning a lot of coal that they make themselves wealthier, and by making themselves wealthier they have fewer children, and you don’t have as many people burning carbon, you might be better off in 2070.”
Emanuel and Wigley say the extreme rhetoric is making political agreement on climate change harder.
“You’ve got to come up with some kind of middle ground where you do reasonable things to mitigate the risk and try at the same time to lift people out of poverty and make them more resilient,” said Emanuel. “We shouldn’t be forced to choose between lifting people out of poverty and doing something for the climate.” (emphasis mine)
Happily, there is plenty of middle ground between climate apocalypse and climate denial.
Roger Pielke
In recent years the issue of climate change has taken a decidedly apocalyptic turn. Earlier this week United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres warned, “If we don’t urgently change our way of life, we jeopardize life itself.” A group of scientists writes that we “might already have lost control” over “tipping points” in the Earth’s climate, warning that the “stability and resilience of our planet is in peril.”
It’s true that apocalyptic narratives have always had a place in discussions of climate. In 1989 the United Nations warned that the world had “a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.” (UN is always a part of the problem) But the escalation of apocalyptic climate rhetoric in recent years is unprecedented. The drumbeat of doom has led some prominent figures to turn on the mainstream climate community, complaining that “climate scientists have been underestimating the rate of climate change and the severity of its effects.” In reality, climate science has not just accurately anticipated unfolding climate change, but has done so consistently for the past 50 years.
There is thus an inconsistency here. Discussions of climate change have become more apocalyptic, but climate science has not. I have been working hard to understand this inconsistency, and while I don’t yet have all the answers, I have identified a big part of the puzzle, which I can report here for the first time.
Herein lies the crux of the Climate change DilemmaConfusion by the United Nations
Discussions of climate change are directly and indirectly shaped by the work of experts who work under the umbrella of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change or IPCC. The IPCC was established in the 1980s to assess and summarize climate science to inform policy makers, and since then has produced five major assessment reports, along with periodic topical assessments.
I have testified before the U.S. Congress on multiple occasions on the critical importance of the IPCC. The IPCC plays such an important role that if it didn’t exist, we’d have to invent it. Research on climate change results in a large and varied literature that would be impossible to comprehend without expert assessments like those of the IPCC. The IPCC thus serves a crucial role at the intersection of science and policy.
Human-caused climate change is of course real and a significant concern. I have argued for decades about the importance of policies to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions and the need to better adapt to climate variability and change. But effective policy making is presently threatened by the apocalyptic turn in the climate debate.
Decisions made within the IPCC have contributed to the apocalyptic turn in discussions of climate, moving us away from constructive discussions, scaring children and contributing to overheated rhetoric. To understand the role of the IPCC in the recent rise of climate doom requires understanding how the body performs its assessments.
Underpinning everything that the IPCC does in its scientific assessments are scenarios of the future. Such scenarios are used to project future climate change, to project the impacts of such change on society and the environment, and to project the costs and benefits of mitigation action intended to reduce those impacts.
In order to produce such projections, in its scenarios the IPCC has long differentiated between “baseline scenarios” of the future which describe where the world is headed in the absence of climate policies and “mitigation scenarios” which describe a world where climate policies are put into place. Baseline scenarios are often referred to as “business as usual.”
The rise of the new climate apocalypse can be traced directly to a consequential but little appreciated change in how the IPCC presents its scenarios. The consequences of this change have reverberated through the scientific community, media reporting, policy discussions and civic advocacy.
Almost two decades ago the IPCC developed a set of scenarios as the basis for integrating the work of its three working groups on science, impacts and mitigation. The scenarios were created to serve as the basis for projecting future climate change, the impacts of climate change and the consequences of mitigation action. Such coordination across the assessment work of the IPCC makes obvious sense.
At the time the IPCC recognized that “the future is inherently unpredictable and so views will differ as to which of the storylines and representative scenarios could be more or less likely. Therefore, the development of a single "best guess" or "business-as-usual" scenario is neither desirable nor possible.” Based on this perspective, the IPCC developed a set of scenarios for our collective futures but did not identify any of them as more probable than another, explaining that, “the term “business-as-usual” may be misleading” and “most climate scenarios considered in this report can be regarded as exploratory.”
The result of this approach was that projected futures in the absence of climate policies encompassed a very wide range of possible outcomes. The fourth assessment report of the IPCC published in 2007 acknowledged this wide range of futures, “There is still a large span of [carbon dioxide] emissions across baseline scenarios in the literature, with emissions in 2100 ranging from 10 GtCO2 [billion tons of carbon dioxide] to around 250 GtCO2.”
In other words, when it came to carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels and the associated climate consequences, the long-term future included possibilities that spanned from the highly optimistic (the 10 billion ton scenario) to the highly pessimistic (the 250 billion ton scenario), and everything in between. Climate change was not necessarily apocalyptic, but possibly could be if we made decisions leading to bad outcomes.
An enormously consequential change in approach occurred from the fourth IPCC assessment report in 2007 to the fifth in 2013. The IPCC abandoned its earlier acknowledgement of fundamental uncertainties and ignorance about the future and instead fully endorsed the notion of choosing a “business as usual” scenario for the future. The “business as usual” scenario adopted by the fifth IPCC assessment was associated with one of its most extreme scenarios of the future.
The fifth IPCC assessment report states that while future greenhouse gas emissions were uncertain, “between 1970 and 2010, emissions increased 79%, from 27 Gt of [greenhouse gases] to over 49 Gt [billion tons]. Business-as-usual would result in that rate continuing.” An increase of that rate to 2100 would result in 189 billion tons of greenhouse gases being emitted at the end of the century, which is in the 99th percentile of all scenarios included in the database of reference scenarios of the fifth assessment report.
The fifth assessment report went further and explicitly identified a subset of reference scenarios that characterized where the IPCC believed the world was heading in the absence of climate policies. The IPCC fifth assessment report’s range of 2100 carbon dioxide emissions for “business as usual” is 50 GtCO2 to 106 GtCO2 (which it describes as the 10% to 90% percentiles of its scenario database). The report went further and identified a single scenario as “business as usual” with 2100 carbon dioxide emissions of more than 80 billion tons of carbon dioxide (this scenario is called RCP 8.5).
From the IPCC’s fourth to fifth assessment report our collective future, as envisioned by the IPCC, changed dramatically. The world was no longer heading for a wide range of possible futures, conditioned on enormous uncertainties, but instead was heading with some certainty toward a future characterized by an extreme level of carbon dioxide emissions. Quantitatively, futures with less than 50 billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions in 2100 simply disappeared from the IPCC reference scenarios and the focus was placed on a “business as usual” scenario of more than 80 billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions in 2100.
The apocalypse had been scheduled. The United Nations had muddy the water. Damn crooked Europeans!! They have killed us all!!
The decision by the IPCC to center its fifth assessment report on its most extreme scenario has been incredibly consequential. Thousands of academic studies of the future impacts of climate change followed the lead of the IPCC, and have emphasized the most extreme scenario as “business as usual” which is often interpreted and promoted as where the world is heading. For instance, so far in 2019 two new academic studies have been published every day that present this most extreme scenario as “business as usual” and predict extreme future impacts. Journalists promote these sensationalist findings, which are amplified by activists and politicians and as a consequence climate change becomes viewed as being more and more apocalyptic.
The problem with the extreme “business as usual” scenario of the IPCC’s fifth assessment report is that it is already out of date. For 2020 the scenario wildly overstates emissions, and has been critiqued in the academic literature as a highly unlikely if not impossible future. The International Energy Agency has proposed scenarios for the next several decades that diverge greatly from the favored scenario of the IPCC. It is of course possible that the world will collectively choose to emit massive quantities of carbon dioxide, which would require a massive increase in coal burning. But that scenario is certainly not preordained, and other futures are certainly possible.
Remarkably, the IPCC is set to repeat its reliance on extreme scenarios as “business as usual” in its forthcoming sixth assessment report, even though these scenarios are already out of date.
I will have much more to say on this subject in coming columns, as this topic is an active focus of my research. The bottom line for today is to understand that a fateful decision by the IPCC to selectively anoint an extreme scenario from among a huge range of possible futures has helped to create the climate apocalypse, a scary but imaginary future. CONCLUSION
We really finally made it. In this issue of Climate Change as for me and my house we will continue to serve the Lord and take care of our garden. In terms of the Third World I think they are in a more advantageous position than the first world and able to shape their democracies based on the best practices. Learning from the mistakes of the First World nations who are the major contributors to this climate crisis based on their actions not only in the past but also at present. They seem to throw themselves around to the detriment of the other nations especially the Third World nations in Africa. The UN information is already out of date and the predictions did not happen.
We have finally come to the end of this series and I must say we are much more aware and can speak intelligently to the issues surrounding not only our communities but also our planet. It is a serious balancing act. However, from our reading of the many articles it is apparent that the causes of any weather event is not conclusive because the systems of the environment are intertwined. Until we can prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that Climate Change is responsible for many of the events which have taken place. We need to just be mindful of our planet and stop breaking natural laws willy-nilly and take care of the planet in the same manner we do our gardens and ignore all the outlandish claims by people with questionable motives.
Let us get Chris Tomlin to take us out of here with God of Wonders. As I was browsing I found this other video by Elijah Oyelade. God is a God of variety two different songs with the same theme. Whichever one you prefer He is still the God of Wonders. You already have the blog post The ‘I AM’ Statements of Jesus and The Different Names of God.
This is me Raphleta, Lillene’s baby girl coming to you from all the way up here in Indianapolis, Indiana again!!
À bientôt
REFERENCES
Climate Apocalypse - Wikipedia
Climate Crisis - Wikipedia
Economic Collapse - Wikipedia
Effects of Global warming on Humans - Wikipedia
End Time - Wikipedia
Extinction Risk from Global Warming - Wikipedia
Climate Change: Crisis NOT Apocalypse - Ann Mongoven - Markkula Center
Apocalypse becomes the New Normal - Paul Krugman - New York Times
The Climate change Apocalypse Problem - Ted Nordhaus
Why Apocalyptic Claims about Climate Change are Wrong - Michael Shellenberger - Forbes
The Incredible Story of How Climate Change Became Apocalyptic - Roger Pielke
Tuesday 1 September 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE OR APOCALYPSE II
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